The country has three options, according to explanations given by the heads of the political parties in Chad and analysts to the “Sky News Arabia” website: either a peaceful transfer of power if the ruling council kept its promises; the formation of an opposition-led parallel government; or the outbreak of civil war.
Situational changes and the parallel government
He concluded on October 8, “The Comprehensive National Dialogue”, which began August 20 with the participation of parties and forces of the civil society and factions from the armed opposition, most notably the “Union of Resistance Forces” movement led by “Timan Ardeimi”.
However, a large number of civil opposition groups, most notably the “Wagtttttt” platform, a coalition of parties and movements from civil society, engage in discussion in opposition to what they see as repressive actions by the government.
Moving armed groups
The street exploded in violence.
“Chad” is going through one of the toughest times of her life, according to Ibrahim Al-Fimi, a leader of the National Resistance Council for Democracy, and the circumstance is ripe for an internal war.
Al-Fimi claims that in regards to the outcomes of the national discussion, he “did not come out with any success of change, but rather led to the elongation of the transitional period, which caused the street to explode.
The party leader also claims that the Transitional Council “turned” the Doha Agreement, which stipulates that those who lead the transitional period of the elections do not run, by “not committing” to its promises to foreign organisations like the African Union, the United Nations, the European Union, the countries of France, the United States, Germany, and England.
The president of the African Union Commission, Musa Faki, criticised the use of force against the protesters, as did the French Foreign Ministry, and the European Union mission in Chad announced that it would not recognise an extension of the transitional phase.
military conflict
The evacuation of large demonstrations and their encounter with live ammunition, along with what the Chadian political analyst Abu Bakr Abdel Salam called the “intransigence” of the ruling authority, may hold the scene and permit the escalation of opposition blocs.
The opposition parties and Abdel Salam are allegedly pressuring the council to hand over control in order to take advantage of the government’s inability to deal with the high cost of living and the flood’s effects.
In an escalatory step, “Sukis Massara” went out in a video, on Tuesday, talking about a parallel government, saying that he calls for recognition of what he described as the people of the people, asking the United Nations to provide armed protection for the people.
Mohamed Ali Kilani, the director of the Conflict Monitoring Center on the African coast, agrees that if the transitional council insists on carrying on, Chad will likely descend into chaos and violent conflict.
This occurs while the administration deals with yet another unexpected obstacle, namely the floods that affected 19,000 animals and 465,000 hectares of farmland.
Only one of three unique methods peacefully undermines the “Deby son” authority in Chad.
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